Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000630 0.000717 0.000809 0.000913 0.001029 0.001151 0.001291
2025-10-19 0.000493 0.000612 0.000748 0.000912 0.001103 0.001318 0.001578
2025-10-26 0.000410 0.000542 0.000699 0.000897 0.001138 0.001419 0.001768
2025-11-02 0.000359 0.000501 0.000676 0.000906 0.001194 0.001539 0.001982
2025-11-09 0.000316 0.000463 0.000652 0.000907 0.001236 0.001641 0.002171
2025-11-16 0.000269 0.000414 0.000608 0.000877 0.001235 0.001685 0.002288
2025-11-23 0.000232 0.000375 0.000572 0.000854 0.001238 0.001732 0.002406
2025-11-30 0.000207 0.000350 0.000552 0.000850 0.001264 0.001809 0.002563
2025-12-07 0.000187 0.000329 0.000537 0.000850 0.001294 0.001889 0.002725
2025-12-14 0.000166 0.000306 0.000516 0.000840 0.001310 0.001949 0.002862
2025-12-21 0.000148 0.000284 0.000494 0.000827 0.001319 0.001999 0.002983
2025-12-28 0.000140 0.000278 0.000497 0.000850 0.001380 0.002122 0.003208
2026-01-04 0.000130 0.000269 0.000495 0.000865 0.001431 0.002232 0.003419
2026-01-11 0.000117 0.000252 0.000478 0.000857 0.001447 0.002294 0.003564
2026-01-18 0.000105 0.000235 0.000460 0.000845 0.001455 0.002344 0.003691
2026-01-25 0.000097 0.000226 0.000454 0.000853 0.001493 0.002437 0.003883
2026-02-01 0.000089 0.000216 0.000445 0.000854 0.001521 0.002516 0.004054
2026-02-08 0.000077 0.000197 0.000420 0.000826 0.001500 0.002521 0.004119
2026-02-15 0.000068 0.000181 0.000398 0.000803 0.001488 0.002539 0.004200
2026-02-22 0.000062 0.000172 0.000388 0.000800 0.001505 0.002601 0.004349
2026-03-01 0.000057 0.000164 0.000380 0.000799 0.001528 0.002671 0.004511
2026-03-08 0.000051 0.000154 0.000368 0.000790 0.001535 0.002718 0.004637
2026-03-15 0.000045 0.000144 0.000354 0.000778 0.001536 0.002752 0.004746